{"product_id":"9780137017102","title":"The Art Decisions: How to Manage in an Uncertain World","description":"\u003cb\u003e \u003c\/b\u003e\u003cp\u003eThe Fast-Paced, Fun-to-Read Guide to Making Better Decisions!\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e  \u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eHow much information do you really need to make a business decision? Why don’t past winners keep on winning? When should you fold your hand, and when should you press on? In \u003ci\u003eThe Art of Decisions\u003c\/i\u003e, Chris Blake reveals the amazing hidden realities beneath human decision making–and helps you optimize every decision you make.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eBlake begins by exploding the #1 myth of decision making: the idea that if you have enough knowledge, you can engineer away all risk and make a rational, objective decision that’s nearly guaranteed to succeed. Next, Blake turns to the decision-making process itself, teaching better ways to make decisions in a world full of uncertainty, randomness, and tough luck.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eDrawing on the secrets of psychology, poker, and probability, you’ll learn how to identify and overcome biases and errors that constantly creep into the decision-making process. You’ll discover the power and pitfalls of intuition in familiar and unfamiliar environments and learn \"rules of thumb\" drawn from fields as diverse as gambling and computer programming.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003eYou’re human. You’ll never be perfect. But if you want to be right more often, when it matters most, this book will get you there.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e• Decision-making lessons from Texas Hold’em\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e  \u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e¿¿ What to do about the risks and randomness you can’t eliminate\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e• Follow your instinct or follow the rules?\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e  \u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e¿¿ When to use your intuition--and when to doubt it\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e• Know when it’s time to decide\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e  \u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e¿¿ How to know when you know enough\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003e• Make better decisions in unfamiliar environments\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e  \u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e¿¿ Hire a guide or make a map?\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"FT Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47010573222128,"sku":"9780137017102","price":18.99,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0737\/7593\/9824\/files\/9780137017102_p0.jpg?v=1763642355","url":"https:\/\/shop-qa.barnesandnoble.com\/products\/9780137017102","provider":"Barnes \u0026 Noble (DEV)","version":"1.0","type":"link"}