{"product_id":"9781467834018","title":"The Greatest Horse of All: A Controversy Examined","description":"\u003cp\u003eUsing the most basic statistics, completely explained, the author selects the sixteen most likely candidates for the title: \"greatest horse of the twentieth century.\"\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFifty colts and fillies, listed mainly in a 1999 publication by The Blood-Horse, Inc., were compared using a three-part process. This process narrowed the top contenders to sixteen.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe past performance data for these Thoroughbreds were obtained from the Daily Racing Form's 2000 publication \u003ci\u003eChampions.\u003c\/i\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eUsing results identical to those explained in the book, the author calculates that the best likely average time for Big Brown to run the upcoming Belmont is 147.54 seconds, or 2:27.54. \u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOne hundred simulations at 12 furlongs, based on Big Brown's current 2008 performance data and the past 36 years of Belmont winning times, indicate he has a 72-percent chance of winning the triple crown.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eThe identical formulas used in the book on the past performance data for Secretariat, Seattle Slew and Affirmed, came within fractional seconds of predicting their Belmont\/Triple Crown wins.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eOf course, as most Wall Street pundits will warn, past performance is not a guarantee of future performance!\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eAnd now, in retrospect, Big Brown sadly did not win. Had he run as he was capable, the predicted time stated above would have beaten the winner, Da'Tara, by 2.09 seconds!\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eCharles Justice\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eJune 5 and 9, 2008\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"AuthorHouse","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":47124906213616,"sku":"9781467834018","price":3.99,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0737\/7593\/9824\/files\/9781467834018_p0.jpg?v=1763695299","url":"https:\/\/shop-qa.barnesandnoble.com\/products\/9781467834018","provider":"Barnes \u0026 Noble (DEV)","version":"1.0","type":"link"}