Review and Evaluation of the VA Enrollee Health Care Projection Model

The Department of Veterans Affairs relies on the Enrollee Health Care Projection Model (EHCPM) to project veteran enrollment, enrolled veterans1 use of health care services, and the cost of providing those services. This evaluation of the EHCPM examines its accuracy and validity, identifies potential model enhancements, and assesses the risks and benefits posed by the VA1s reliance on the model for budgeting and planning.