Nonlinear Modeling of Economic and Financial Time-Series

Within the subprime crisis (2007) and the recent global financial crisis of 2008-2009, we have observed significant decline, corrections and structural changes in most US and European financial markets. Furthermore, it seems that this crisis has been rapidly transmitted toward the most developed and emerging countries and has strongly affected the whole economy. Several studies have recently focused on the investigation of the effects of this crisis and have pointed out negative feedbacks. Interestingly, the authors have shown asymmetrical effects and significant nonlinear mean reversion in financial markets. They have also suggested significant but irregular relationships between financial markets and macroeconomic indicators.

This volume aims to present recent researches in linear and nonlinear modelling of economic and financial time-series. The several discussions of empirical results of its chapters clearly help to improve the understanding of the financial mechanisms inherent to this crisis. They also yield an important overview on the sources of the financial crisis and its main economic and financial consequences. This volume should have important implication for economists, investors, policymakers.

The book aims at providing the audience a comprehensive understanding of financial and economic dynamics in various aspects using modern financial econometric methods. It addresses the empirical techniques needed by economic agents to analyze the dynamics of these markets and illustrates how they can be applied to the actual data. On the other hand, it presents and discusses new research findings and their implications.