The Projection and Outlook of China's Economy 2016

This book is the annual report of economic outlook by Center for Forecasting Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences. It analyzes and predicts the macro economy, foreign trade and the capital flow, and the economic situations of different sectors. Based on the data before December 2006, the report presents a comprehensive and systematic summary and review of the different levels of China’s economy. In particular, advanced econometric models such as nonlinear input-occupancy-output model, TEI@I methodology, co-integration and error correction models, vector error correction model (VEC) and economic leading indicators are used to summarize and predict the economic trend of 2007 and the main economic variables, and policy suggestions are proposed correspondingly.