A Simulation Model for the Future Analysis of Cardiovascular Disease

A model to enable the user to design future scenarios pertaining to the incidence and cost of coronary heart disease, and to calculate the consequences of these scenarios. This text and diskette aim to analyze the future effects of strategic measures pertaining to coronary heart disease. It enables scientists, cardiologists, policy-makers and insurance companies to: design their own future scenarios; calculate the growth pattern of coronary heart disease in their region; and project the costs involved. The basis of the model is: the distribution of risk factors within the population; the effect of preventative measures on the distribution of risk factors; the effect this has on the risk of heart failure; the course of illness; the probability that a heart attack will result in death; therapeutic care; and the influence of treatment on the chance of survival, quality of life and the level of medical costs. The book describes the integral relationship between medical treatment, health effects and the future costs of coronary heart disease. The user-friendly program runs on any modern PC with a DOS operating system.